This has nothing to do with Jesus or Kant. But I had to.
Anything can happen in MMA, but I’ve never been so sure of a prediction than this one: McGregor will TKO Aldo within 3 rounds (probably 2). He will back him to the cage, land punches and kicks and, eventually, Aldo will fall. Another legend becomes human.
Conor is huge, even too big for this weight class (which is why he’s moving up). He cuts a ton of weight. He’s taller, bigger, stronger, and more powerful. He will have a size and reach advantage, and he hits harder than anyone in this division. However, he will likely have a speed disadvantage which will be interesting.
We just saw Ronda – the greatest female athlete of all time – get knocked out by a professional boxer. Take note. In MMA there are only a few good boxers, and Holm and Conor are two of them. You simply cannot underestimate the ability Conor has to hit Aldo in the head. Physics. When I saw Conor’s first fight, I was blown away by his boxing skills: they are unmatched in the UFC right now. Aldo’s boxijng is extremely basic and defensive. He plants his feet, his body twitching constantly, and waits for a counter to present itself. In the later rounds his boxing gets extremely sloppy. Boxing, of course, can be defeated with wrestling (Mendes). But Aldo isn’t a good wrestler and he doesn’t go for take downs.
- Aldo’s let kick won’t work
Aldo’s most effective kick – the low kick to the lead leg – isn’t available against a lefty. When he fought the southpaw Kenny Florian, for example, he didn’t throw one leg kick until 2 minutes left in the second round. All the while Florian was landing a ton of kicks on Aldo (to be fair, Aldo did start landing that inside leg kick which caused a lot of damage to Florian, but he only threw about 6 or 7 total in the fight). Kenny was basically standing in front of him and not landing stikes). Kenny also pushed him around.
Jose isn’t old, but he’s had a lot of fights and a lot of punches to the head. He’s talked about retiring. He’s at the tail end of his career, and Conor is still improving. Through no fault of his own, this is very bad timing for Aldo.
Conor is hungry, not married, no kids, and obsessed with training. Aldo has no reason to be hungry anymore, has a family, doesn’t seem to train in the off-season that much, hasn’t been improving his skills, and doesn’t seem to be particularly interested in the sport of MMA (he likes soccer and jokes about not watching UFC events). Aldo has never had to deal with an opponent that doesn’t respect him as a fighter. This is going to be just like Chael vs Anderson Silva, except Conor is actually good.